"政府下修成長預期"

即使全球經濟正逐漸回彈，台灣的經濟前景仍看起來不太有希望。

行政院主計總處（DGBAS）最近宣布台灣的GDP成長預測已經重新下修。預期台灣GDP今年將成長1.74%，從前次估計的2.31%下降了，並預測人均GDP 20850美金。

根據行政院主計總處的石素梅所說，GDP往下調整的主因是出口下滑。儘管全球經濟逐漸復甦，市場需求和面板價格下跌，造成出口受到打擊。此外，石化產業的歲修以及來自對岸的競爭穩定成長，台灣的出口很可能高估了。

關於私人消費這塊，估計將在第四季提升2.01%，車商預測會亟力推動更強勁的銷售。與此同時，私人投資將於今年爬升5.32%，半導體企業持續進一步投資於製造方面、通訊業持續投資4G科技建設而航空業也計畫購置新飛機。

(Business) Government Revises Down Growth Forecasts

Even though the global economy is gradually bouncing back, Taiwans economy does not look too promising.

The Directorate-General of Budget, Accounting and Statistics (DGBAS) has recently announced that Taiwans GDP growth forecast has been revised downward. It is expected that the country will see 1.74 percent growth in GDP this year, down from a previous estimate of 2.31 percent, with GDP per capita forecast at US$20,850.

According to DGBAS Minister Shih Su-mei, the downward GDP adjustment is mainly attributed to a drop in exports. In spite of gradual economic recovery around the world, market demand and prices of panels have decreased, causing exports to take a hit. Moreover, with the petrochemical industry performing its annual maintenance and competition across the strait growing steadily, Taiwans exports are likely to be overestimated.

In regard to private consumption, it is expected to rise 2.01 percent in the fourth quarter, with car dealers forecast to push for stronger sales. Meanwhile, private investment is poised to climb 5.32 percent this year, as semiconductor businesses continue to make advanced manufacturing investments, telecommunication businesses continue to invest in 4G technology construction, and airliners plan to acquire new aircraft.

想聽語音請上FunDay